Смертность от повреждений с неопределенными намерениями в России и в других странах
Аннотация
Смерти от травм и отравлений, которые эксперты не смогли отнести к убийствам, самоубийствам или несчастным случаям, фиксируются в статистике как смерти от повреждений с неопределенными намерениями. Доля таких смертей может свидетельствовать о качестве статистики причин смерти, в первую очередь, статистики умышленных повреждений. В России почти четыре десятилетия кряду смертность от неопределенных намерений теснит смертность от убийств, самоубийств и несчастных случаев. Прежде это наблюдалось в годы повышения смертности от внешних причин, но начавшееся в 2003 г. небывало долгое для России снижение смертности от внешних причин не переломило тенденцию. Вытеснение остальных внешних причин продолжается несмотря на то, что смертность от повреждений с неопределенными намерениями стала выше смертности от убийств и самоубийств, а ее пропорции выросли десятикратно и достигли высоких значений сравнению с другими странами. В отечественных исследованиях последнего десятилетия доказывается, что высокая пропорция смертности от повреждений с неопределенными намерениями – во многом плод манипуляций со статисткой смертности от внешних причин (явления, названного переводом социально значимых причин в латентную форму).
В статье на основе сравнения с другими странами и обзора отечественных и зарубежных исследований предпринята попытка расширить контекст и рамки дискуссии, включив в нее вопрос о факторах упорного роста этого «технического» показателя и гипотезах о «естественном» характере такой динамики.
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Литература
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