Социально-экономические детерминанты детской и подростковой смертности от внешних причин в Москве
Аннотация
Детская и подростковая смертность в России превышает показатели стран-лидеров по ожидаемой продолжительности жизни. Существенный вклад в это вносит смертность от внешних причин. Опыт других стран показывает, что смертность от этого класса причин может быть значительно снижена при помощи мер социальной политики. В статье анализируется влияние социальных и экономических характеристик районов Москвы на смертность в них от внешних причин в детских и подростковых возрастных группах в 2016-2017 г. На основе данных Федеральной службы государственной статистики, ЦИАН, Базы данных показателей муниципальных образований, а также обезличенных данных ЗАГС Москвы были построены карты детской смертности Москвы и Tobit-модели оценки коэффициента смертности в зависимости от социальных характеристик района. Выявлено, что для младшей возрастной группы от 1 до 4 лет наиболее значимым фактором является присмотр родителей, для более старших групп 5-9 лет значимыми становятся показатели дохода и благополучия района. Для подростковых возрастов
10-15 лет помимо дохода значимыми являются уровень преступности в районе и уровень экономического неравенства.
Скачивания
Литература
Amouzou A., Kozuki N., Gwatkin D.R. (2014). Where is the gap?: the contribution of disparities within developing countries to global inequalities in under-five mortality. BMC public health, 14(1), 1-5.
Andreev E.M., Kvasha E.A., Kharkova T.L. (2016). Smertnost' v Moskve i drugikh megapolisakh mira: skhodstva i razlichiya [Mortality in Moscow and other megacities of the world: similarities and differences]. Demographic Review, 3(3). https://doi.org/10.17323/demreview.v3i3.1746 (In Russ.)
Andreev E.M., Shkolnikov V.M. (2018). Svyaz' mezhdu urovnyami smertnosti i ekonomicheskogo razvitiya v Rossii i yeye regionakh [The relationship between mortality and economic development in Russia and its regions]. Demographic Review, 5(1). https://doi.org/10.17323/demreview.v5i1.7707 (In Russ.)
Assembly U.N.G. (2000). UN Millennium Declaration. UN General Assembly, report. A/res/55/2, New York.
Brämer G.R. (1988). International statistical classification of diseases and related health problems. Tenth revision. World Health Statistics Quarterly. Rapport Trimestriel de Statistiques Sanitaires Mondiales. https://doi.org/978924 549165
Burstein R., Henry N.J., Collison M.L. et al. (2019). Mapping 123 million neonatal, infant and child deaths between 2000 and 2017. Nature 574, 353–358. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-019-1545-0
Center for Demographic Research (2019). Russian Fertility and Mortality Database. URL: http://demogr.nes.ru/index.php/ru/demogr_indicat/data (data downloaded on 28.02.2019).
Danilova I.A. (2017) Mezhregional'noye neravenstvo v prodolzhitel'nosti zhizni v Rossii i yego sostavlyayushchiye po vozrastu i prichinam smerti [Interregional inequality in life expectancy in Russia and its age and cause of death components]. Social aspects of population health, 57(5). DOI: 10.21045/2071-5021-2017-57-5-3 (In Russ.).
Ekman R., Svanström L., Långberg B. (2005). Temporal trends, gender, and geographic distributions in child and youth injury rates in Sweden. Injury Prevention, 11(1), 29-32.
Fadel S.A., Cynthia B.P., Shicheng Y., Reynales-Shigematsu L.M., Menon G.R., Newcombe L., Strong K.L., Wang Q., Prabhat J. (2019). Trends in cause-specific mortality among children aged 5–14 years from 2005 to 2016 in India, China, Brazil, and Mexico: an analysis of nationally representative mortality studies. The Lancet, 393(10176), 1119-1127.
General'naya prokuratura Rossiyskoy Federatsii [General Prosecutor's Office of the Russian Federation] (2020). Informatsionno-analiticheskiy portal pravovoy statistiki General'noy prokuratury Rossiyskoy Federatsii [Information and analytical portal of legal statistics of the General Prosecutor's Office of the Russian Federation]. URL: http://crimestat.ru/ (data downloaded on 28.02.2019).
George M. (2019). The importance of social media content for teens' risks for self-harm. Journal of Adolescent Health, 65(1), 9-10.
Gijzen S., Boere-Boonekamp M.M., L'hoir M.P., Need A. (2014). Child mortality in the Netherlands in the past decades: an overview of external causes and the role of public health policy. Journal of public health policy, 35(1), 43-59.
Hug L., Sharrow D., You D. (2017). Levels & Trends in Child Mortality: Report. Estimates Developed by the UN Inter-agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation.
Kartaev F.S. (2019). Vvedenie v ekonometriku: uchebnik [Introduction to econometrics: textbook] Moscow: Lomonosov Moscow State University, Faculty of Economics. (In Russ.).
Kasmauski K. (2018). Type 2 diabetes: The urgent need to protect young people. Lancet, 392(2325), 33015-0.
Kvasha E.A., Kharkova T.L., Yumaguzin V.V. (2014). Smertnost' ot vneshnikh prichin v Rossii za polveka [Mortality from external causes of death in Russia over the past half-century]. Demographic Review, 1(4). https://doi.org/10.17323/demreview.v1i4.1803 (In Russ.).
Magnus YA.R., Katyshev P.K., Pereseckij A.A. (2007). Ekonometrika. Nachal'nyj kurs: ucheb. 6-e izd. [Introduction to the theory of econometrics: textbook]. Moscow: Delo. (In Russ).
Masquelier B. (2018). Mortality between ages 5 and 15. Population Societies, (9), 1-4.
Mokdad A.H. et al. (2016). Global burden of diseases, injuries, and risk factors for young people's health during 1990–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013. The Lancet, 387(10036), 2383-2401.
Molcho M., Walsh S., Donnelly P., Matos M.G.D., Pickett W. (2015). Trend in injury-related mortality and morbidity among adolescents across 30 countries from 2002 to 2010. The European Journal of Public Health, 25(suppl_2), 33-36.
Parkkari J., Mattila V., Kivistö J., Niemi S., Palvanen M., Kannus P. (2013). Fatal childhood injuries in Finland, 1971–2010. Injury prevention, 19(3), 171-176.
Pradhan E. (2018). The relationship between women’s education and fertility. Weforum.
Prokuratura goroda Moskvy [The Prosecutor's Office of the city of Moscow] (2020). Statistika [Statistics]. URL: https://old.mosproc.ru/statistics/ (data downloaded on 05.05.2020).
Rajaratnam J.K., Marcus J.K., Flaxman A.D., Wang H., Levin-Rector A., Dwyer L., Costa M., Lopez A.D., Murray C.J. (2010). Neonatal, postneonatal, childhood, and under-5 mortality for 187 countries, 1970–2010: a systematic analysis of progress towards Millennium Development Goal 4. The Lancet, 375(9730), 1988-2008.
Rich M., Ginsburg K.R. (1999). The reason and rhyme of qualitative research: why, when, and how to use qualitative methods in the study of adolescent health. Journal of Adolescent health, 25(6), 371-378.
Roberts I., Power C. (1996). Does the decline in child injury mortality vary by social class? A comparison of class specific mortality in 1981 and 1991. Bmj, 313(7060), 784-786.
Rosstat [Federal State Statistics Service] (2020a). Yedinaya mezhvedomstvennaya informatsionno-statisticheskaya sistema (EMISS). Vozrastn·yye koeffitsiyenty smertnosti [Unified Interdepartmental Statistical Information System (EMISS). Age-specific mortality rates]. URL: https://fedstat.ru/indicator/30974 (data downloaded on 28.02.2019).
Rosstat [Federal State Statistics Service] (2020b). Baza dannykh pokazateley munitsipal'nykh obrazovaniy [Database of indicators of municipalities]. URL: https://www.gks.ru/dbscripts/munst/munst45/DBInet.cgi (data downloaded on 05.05.2020).
Shah R., Viner R., Hargreaves D., Heys M., Varnes M., Hagell A. (2018). The social determinants of young people’s health. Health Foundation. https://www.health.org.uk/publications/the-social-determinants-of-young-people%E2%80%99s-health
Shen C., Williamson J.B. (1997). Child mortality, women's status, economic dependency, and state strength: a cross-national study of less developed countries. Social Forces, 76(2), 667-700.
UNICEF (2016). Adolescent Mortality. Patterns of mortality change as children enter adolescence.
UNICEF, WHO, World Bank Group, United Nations (2019). Levels & Trends in Child Mortality. Report https://www.unicef.org/media/60561/file/UN-IGME-child-mortality-report-2019.pdf
Upravleniye Federal'noy sluzhby gosudarstvennoy statistiki po g. Moskve i Moskovskoy oblasti [Office of the Federal State Statistics Service for Moscow and the Moscow Region] (2020). Chislennost' naseleniya do 18 let po polu i vozrastu po rayonam Moskvy [Population under 18 years old by sex and age by districts of Moscow]. URL: https://mosstat.gks.ru/ (data uploaded 05.03.2020).
Victora C.G., Barros A.J., Blumenberg C., Costa J.C., Vidaletti L.P., Wehrmeister F.C., Masquelier B., Hug L., You D. (2020). Association between ethnicity and under-5 mortality: analysis of data from demographic surveys from 36 low-income and middle-income countries. The Lancet Global Health, 8(3), e352-e361.
Viner R.M., Ozer E.M., Denny S., Marmot M., Resnick M., Fatusi A., Currie C. (2012). Adolescence and the social determinants of health. The Lancet, 379(9826), 1641-1652.
World Health Organization (2014). Targets and indicators for Health 2020. WHO Regional Office for Europe.