Education level as a factor in demographic forecasting

Review of the book «World Population & Human Capital in the Twenty-First Century»

  • Aleksei Shchur National Research University Higher School of Economics
Keywords: population projections, education levels, mortality, fertility, migration

Abstract

The book is devoted to issues of forecasting the size and structure of the Earth’s population until the end of the XXI century; it focuses on both the methodological aspects of making such demographic projections and on the consequences of various forecast scenarios for future trajectories of human development. The authors pay special attention to the level of education - in their opinion, the most significant component of human capital. At the same time, the educational structure of the population is not only a derivative of demographic changes and the pace of "education expansion" in various regions and countries of the world, but also itself has and will continue to have a significant impact on demographic processes. This is precisely the kind of defining impact education will have for the population of our planet in the 21st century.

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References

Bessudnov A., Kurakin D., Malik V. (2017). The myth about universal higher education: Russia in the international context. Educational Studies. 3, 83-109. (In Russ.) doi: 10.17323/1814-9545-2017-3-83-109

Lutz W., Butz W.P., KC S. (2014). World Population & Human Capital in the Twenty-First Century. New York: Oxford University Press.

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Zakharov S.V. (Ed.) (2018). Russia’s Population in 2016: 24rd Annual Demographic Report. Moscow: HSE Publishing House. (In Russ.) doi: 10.17323/978-5-7598-1772-7

Published
2019-07-01
How to Cite
ShchurA. (2019). Education level as a factor in demographic forecasting. Demographic Review, 6(2), 204-208. https://doi.org/10.17323/demreview.v6i2.9878
Section
Reviews